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No, with the gradual development of automation and technologies such as robotics and artificial intelligence, social production and services will reduce the use of human labor, and there will be fewer and fewer jobs, with the gradual improvement of business infrastructure, self-employed.
and the number of freelancers will increase, absorbing the surplus labor due to the loss of jobs. This change will be structural and will not change with changes in labor costs.
The population is declining, demand is decreasing, demand is decreasing, employment is decreasing. The population of any country will inevitably have difficulty finding employment, and employment will only become better during the period of population increase. It's just that when the population increases, we use the population as an excuse to lower wages...
When the population declines, the lack of working population is used to depress pensions.
If there are more people, all your misery is because there are more people, and all your misery is because there are fewer people.
If the population declines, it ages.
aggravated, labor costs.
In the long run, it is expected that artificial intelligence will replace some labor, and capital will also move industries to places where labor is cheaper. No matter what era or when, the most important thing is to improve one's ability at work. Also, the best way to create jobs.
Scientific and technological progress is not automatic, but requires people, especially geniuses, to carry out research and development. And geniuses are difficult to cultivate, and can only be sifted out of a large population. A large number of people provide markets and profits for new scientific and technological achievements and new industries**, so that investment in scientific and technological progress can bring benefits, which in turn will create more high-paying jobs.
Let's take a look at the Chinese Internet.
The history of the rise of the industry can be understood, if the Chinese population.
Comparable to Russia, it will never be possible to have so many programmer jobs, and a large number of jobs with decent salaries will be missing, and it will also cause catering, entertainment, education, and hair transplantation.
Medical aesthetics. and so on the general depression of the industry, finallyThe economy is witheringIt's inevitable. When the population is smaller, the market demand is less, the market shrinks and there is no need for so many companies, and the companies provide fewer jobs, which is a vicious circle without solution.
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No, now the talent and employment market is already in a saturated state, coupled with the epidemic in recent years, many companies are also facing layoffs and closures, and there are not many positions, and the competitive pressure can be said to be quite beaten.
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After the decline of China's population, the employment situation in the future will definitely be better, on the one hand, because if the population declines, the competition for employment will not be so fierce, on the other hand, with the decline of population, China's human resource costs will rise somewhat, people's income will increase, which is a good thing for most of the employed.
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I don't think it's going to get better, because with the development of the times, more and more jobs are replaced by mechanization, and the demand for real talent has become higher, and many people don't meet this condition.
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1. Social environment.
Over the years, the Asian financial crisis.
The global economic crisis, the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States.
As well as the recent national debt and credit crises in the United States and Europe, they will inevitably affect China's market economy.
Structure, the country's industrial structure adjustment, first-class institutional reform, enterprises and institutions to reduce staff and increase efficiency and other measures, resulting in the increase in enterprise production costs, labor costs, social absorption of employment capacity weakened, employment difficulties.
2. The professional structure is not reasonable.
In order to achieve international standards, with the advent of China's industrialization era, the three major industries.
Vigorously developing vocational education is the law of the development of a country and a nation.
However, China's higher vocational colleges have not all set up majors according to the characteristics of "vocational skills", and some management and popular majors are even competing with undergraduates, and the society, students and parents do not have enough understanding of the concept of running higher vocational education, and blindly open some majors that do not meet the characteristics of vocational education, which artificially leads to employment tension.
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Hello, dear, the employment situation in my country under the new situation is not optimistic. There are few jobs and a large number of people who need to be employed, and small and medium-sized enterprises and individual industrial and commercial households, which are the main force in absorbing employment, have been affected by the epidemic and have not started enough, and the bureau's ability to absorb employment has been greatly reduced. These are new situations and new problems that we are facing.
First, digitalization and intelligence have changed the employment environment, and some manufacturing jobs have reduced the number of people, allowing machines to replace labor. This makes the employment situation even more severe. Second, online shopping has changed the traditional business model, and physical stores and supermarkets are facing an existential crisis.
Third, the number of graduates after the expansion of university enrollment has increased significantly, and the phenomenon of homogeneity is serious. Fourth, the modernization, digitalization and intellectualization of agriculture have made the rural labor force more prosperous, and the transfer of rural labor force has shown a new trend.
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Clause.
First, the supply of dynamic population exceeds demand. China's actual labor supply is getting bigger and bigger, forming a number of overlapping and conflicting rapidly increasing employment pressures. This is mainly because:
1) The new working-age population has entered a peak period, reaching the level of 10 million people per year. During the "Tenth Five-Year Plan" period, China's total supply of new labor rose to a peak, reaching 46.5 million. (2) More than 5.4 million new urban labor force has been added to China's urban labor force, and the employment ratio is very low.
3) The number of registered unemployed, laid-off and other unemployed persons in urban areas has increased to 19 million, and even if the reemployment rate is calculated at 30%, only 5.4 million to 5.7 million of these actual unemployed persons may be employed. (4) A large number of rural laborers are moving to the cities to work, with an annual increase of 8 million to 10 million people. During the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" period, it is estimated that 5 million to 6 million new people will be added every year, and the task of transferring surplus agricultural labor is very arduous.
5) After the expansion of colleges and universities year after year, the number of college graduates has increased sharply, and new changes have appeared in the relationship between supply and demand.
Clause. Second, the industrial structure is not coordinated enough. Although China's current economic aggregate ranks sixth in the world, there is still a big gap compared with the developed countries in the world, and the employment structure is backward, and the labor force with a relatively high level of education is needed.
Second, the tertiary industry is not developed enough, and the proportion of employment in the tertiary industry in developed countries accounts for 65% (the United States, many developing countries have reached more than 60%, while the proportion of labor employment in China's tertiary industry is only about 30%.
In many countries, the tertiary industry is the industry that absorbs the most employed people, and China not only has a low proportion of employees in the tertiary industry, but also the structure of employees is not reasonable, especially in the emerging service industry. At present, the number of people engaged in the emerging service industries such as finance, insurance, auditing, accounting, social welfare, community services, information consulting, and intermediary services in China only accounts for the total number of employees in the tertiary industry. In some developed countries, the employment of the tertiary industry is mainly concentrated in the emerging service industry, especially the community service industry, for example, some Nordic countries have accounted for more than 40% of the total employment in the community service industry.
Therefore, vigorously developing the tertiary industry, especially the emerging service industry, will effectively alleviate the problems in China's cities and towns.
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First, China has a large population base, a large number of people need to be employed, and the peak period of employment lasts for a long time. Second, China's employment mechanism needs to be improved. Third, the concept of employment needs to be updated.
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1.China's total labor force is relatively large.
2.The quality of the labor force is low and incompatible with social development.
3.The labor market is not perfect, and the employment information transmission information system is not smooth.
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The economy is sluggish, and the demand for industrial labor is low; The expansion of schools and the oversupply of graduates; Expectations are too high, and they all want to enter state-owned enterprises and **; Lack of policies and lack of flexible employment; The profession is outdated, and there is a mismatch between supply and demand; The law is not perfect, and private enterprises are responsible for the staff department!
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I think there will definitely be some changes, but only temporarily. There is not much competition pressure because there are a lot of vacancies in the jobs that may be available, but it is precisely because of this that some companies cannot move forward.
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It may be difficult for the employment situation to improve, after all, there are too many graduates every year, the competition is becoming more fierce, and many front-line jobs are not willing to go, so the more difficult it will become.
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In the future, the employment situation will become easier and easier, and the difficulty will become less and less, which also shows that the aging population will also bring better employment opportunities to some young people.
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